建立自己的交易系统之自我控制

Posted by admin in 交易心理 on 11-03-2010

我认识很多成功的投机者,他们毫无例外的能够认识到:市场的成功来自对自我的控制。

自我控制并不是很难达到,但是对大多数人来说,意识到这一点却非常困难。

我们看看成功的投机者所共有的特点:

一、 他们的风险意识很强:他们在交易中经常出现亏损,但是任何一次都没有使他们承担过分的亏损。这与大多数亏损的交易者刚好相反,或者说,与我们的天性相反。风险控制首先是自我的控制。

二、 在市场,成功的投机者,成功率可以达到35%,甚至50%。他们的之所以成功,并非因为他们正确的预测是市场价格,而是因为他们的获利头寸要远远的高于亏损头寸。这也需要极大的自我控制,当然,还需要整体的交易方案。

三、 成功的投机者的交易思路与众不同。他们有很大的耐心去做别人都害怕做的事情,他们会非常耐心的等待一个看起来非常渺茫的机会,我们知道,投机,正是因为机会而获利。如果没有对自我的严格控制,很难做到这一点。

我的学生可以轻易地达到正确分析市场的程度,但是,要他们达到长期稳定的获利状态,却需要漫长的训练,训练的主要内容就是自我控制。很多时候,我会给客户一些现成的交易系统,他们非常喜欢,似乎有找到魔法的感觉,而如何正确的使用这些“魔法”,他们却不愿意关注——-人们似乎更加愿意去做一些能够使自己兴奋的事情,而不考虑是否正确。【BINGO收集整理】

当其他人告诉你他们是如何交易的时候,他们只是告诉了你他们的行动,这是为什么大多股评或者机构推荐都会发生错误的原因。

我们假设今天的媒体向100家机构咨询,有90个机构认为市场会上升,那么你如何考虑?

实际他们并不是有意在欺骗你:因为他们在今天的交易中的确买入了。也许是他们因为看好而(已经)买入,或者是因为(已经)买入而看好,这都不重要,重要的是他们告诉了你他们的行动。

如果你认真的思考,就可以发现,现在的市场有90%的潜在空头—–那些今天已经买入,同时告诉你市场将进一步向上的人。当市场上100%都看好的时候,市场中便不再继续有多头,或者说,多头再没有了维持的力量,因为他们已经全部买进了,好了,ㄏㄏ,市场还剩下什么?

对了,只有空头,他们没有对手——一直到一轮下跌趋势以后。【BINGO收集整理】

自我控制要建立在正确的交易思想的基础上。在绝大多数情况下,自我控制并不是一件痛苦的事情。

作为一名专业的投机者,你应该建立并相信自己的交易系统(当然,我指的是成熟的交易系统)。你必须知道你的系统在什么情况发挥最正常,什么情况下可能产生亏损,那么你便有更超脱的心态去观察市场,观察交易行为。你会因为有完善的交易方案而不会对市场产生恐惧。

Free Forex Trading Strategies – 2 X Trading Systems the Pro’s Use That Have Made Millions in Profits

Posted by admin in 交易技巧 on 02-11-2009

It always amuses me, when traders buy Forex robots for a hundred dollars or so and thinking they will get rich with them – but none of them work as they have never been traded in real time and are simply back tested simulations. The 2 Free Forex trading strategies we will look here, have made hundreds of millions in real time profits, lets take a look at them in more detail.

The systems we will look at have worked for over 25 years and unlike the popular Forex Robots you see for sale online, these systems are from trading legends not just programmers, these systems work in real time, not just in back tested simulations.

The first free Forex trading strategy we we will look at is “The 4 Week Rule” which was devised by the grandfather of modern trend following Richard Donchian. We have written in detail on this strategy, in other articles but in summary, its a one rule, trend following system which is based on breakout trading. While incredibly simple it works and always remember, the best trading systems are simple, as they have fewer elements to break than complex ones.

If you apply the 4 Week rule correctly, you can make some great long term Forex profits with a system that has stood the test of time.

The next strategy we will look at which you can get for free, comes from Richard Dennis, who incidentally, was also a fan of the 4 Week Rule; His strategy was based on the same logic, trading long term trends via breakouts and it made huge profits. The rules he devised, were used by a group of novice traders to show that anyone, with the right education and system, could win at Forex. Dennis was proved right and in just two years, his group of novices made $200 million real time dollars with it!

The system rules are available free and if you look at the strategy it has all the elements a good strategy has and I personally think, any traders should look at it for the money management rules which are a great example of how to preserve equity. The system is less effective today than when it was first used, as markets have become more volatile but for showing you the basics a good strategy needs to succeed its a great system to look at.

Two simple systems, by true trading legends you can learn from and there both free! Look them up and make them part of your essential Forex trading education and if you learn from them, they will help you enjoy currency trading success.

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